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Identification of Flood Hazard Areas

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Normalized flood frequency (Jan 2015- Dec 2022) derived from Sentinel -1 data over South Sudan. (Source: GMV)


Product Category

  • Land use
  • Land cover
  • Climate Change
  • Coast Management 
  • Marine
  • Earth's Surface Motion

Financial Domains

  • Insurance management 
  • Green finance

User requirements 

UN12: Analysis of potential risks in specific regions.

UN13: Need to geo-map clients.

UN14: Need to screen the feasibility of projects against different hazard criteria.

UN37: Projection of risk to portfolio assets into the future.

UN43: Need to monitor changing precipitation patterns and flood risk in the vicinity of vulnerable assets.

Description

The identification of flood hazard areas refers to the process of assessing and determining the regions that are susceptible to flooding. Flood hazard maps can be generated by analysing historical flood data to determine the frequency of flood events within a specific region over a given time period.  The identification of flood hazard areas offers several important advantages for the financial management sector including risk mitigation and planning, for example, avoiding construction in high-risk zones and insurance management to set appropriate premiums based on the level of flood risk. The concept of calculating flood hazard maps involves comparing a temporal composite image representing dry conditions with multiple composites of available images over a specific period. The goal is to detect flooded pixels and subsequently determine the flood frequency for each pixel based on the number of occurrences it was susceptible to flooding. SAR sensors are preferred for flood hazard mapping due to their ability for cloud penetration, which is an important factor to consider for monitoring flood events because they commonly occur during hurricane-related flooding or periods of extended rainfall.

Spatial Coverage Target

Asset Level and its surrounding 

Data Throughput

Rapid tasking 

Data availability

  • High
  • Low

PRODUCT SPECIFICATIONS

Main processing steps

The process starts by downloading Sentinel-1 images and covers an appropriate time period, it is suggested to use all available images since the launch of Sentinel-1 (2014) and determine the dates with available data. Apply temporal composites within an appropriate number of days. It is recommended to use a time window of two days to avoid the loss of information in a larger time window. If there is more than one image in the time window, the last image is selected. Then it is crucial and critical to select a composite that represents the reference dry condition. The identification of flooded pixels for each composite can be conducted by implementing an UN-recommended practice by comparing each composite to the reference dry condition composite resulting in a different image for each composite. Subsequently, a threshold should be applied to highlight the flooded pixels. Then we should exclude permanent water bodies, areas with higher slopes, and pixels with few flooded neighbours. At this point, the flooded maps for each temporal composite are generated, and a  normalized flood frequency map is generated by normalizing the number of times each pixel was identified as flooded using the total number of observations.

Input data sources

Optical:     N.A

Radar: Sentinel-1, VHR images from different sources like ICEYE, Capella space, Umbra, and TerraSAR-X

Satellite-based products: N.A

Supporting data:  DEM, Permanent water shape file

Accessibility

Sentinel-1:  freely and publicly available from ESA.

SAR VHR imagery: commercially available on demand from EO providers.

Spatial resolution

Sentinel-1: 20 m

SAR VHR: ≤ 3 m

Frequency (Temporal resolution)

Sentinel-1: 6 days

SAR VHR: Daily

Latency

Sentinel-1: ≤ 1 day

SAR VHR: ≤ 1 day

Geographical scale coverage

Globally

Delivery/ output format

Data type: Raster

File format: GeoTIFF

Accuracies

Thematic accuracy: 80-90%

Spatial accuracy: 1.5-2 pixels of input data

Constraints and limitations

  • False positives from changes on the land surface, not caused by flooding.
  • Difficulties of detecting flood in urban or densely vegetated areas.
  • No capturing of flood peak due to the Sentinel-1 acquisition frequency.
  • False positives caused by differences in relative orbits of Sentinel-1.

User's level of knowledge and skills to extract information and perform further analysis on the EO products.

Skills: Ample

Knowledge: Ample



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P24: Identification of flood hazard areas

Download the gap analysis product sheet 

Maturity score

Mean: 2.7

STD: 0.61

Constraints and limitations

·  False positives from the changes on the land surface, not caused by flooding.

·  Difficulties in detecting floods in urban or densely vegetated areas.

·  False positives caused by differences in relative orbits of Sentinel-1

·  Complex in areas of local hydrology

·  Limitations in detecting water under vegetation,

·  Discrimination of "Artificial flooding" from irrigated fields (E.g. rice paddy fields).

Relevant user needs

UN12: Analysis of potential risks in specific regions.

UN13: Need to geo-map clients.

UN14: Need to screen the feasibility of projects against different hazard criteria.

UN37: Projection of risk to portfolio assets into the future.

UN43: Need to monitor changing precipitation patterns and flood risk in the vicinity of vulnerable assets.

R&D gaps

·  Limitations of revisit time-frequency (potentially missing flood events or max flood peak)

·  Unavailability of global high-resolution DEM

Potential improvements drivers

·  More revisit time of SAR data.

·  Additional data on vulnerability and exposure is required to evaluate the impacts of some perils/hazards.

·  Global high-resolution DEM.

Utilisation level review

Utilisation score

Mean: 3.13

STD: 0.60

No utilisation

Low utilisation

Medium utilisation

·  The product is already satisfying the technical and usability requirements.

·  Lack of a single database, costs, and the need may not be as crucial in some sectors like the asset management space (different story for insurance, and re-insurance companies which need this product)

·  Efforts to use this EO product more are ongoing in academic literature. Higher utilisation is blocked because of a lack of data to combine with this EO product - e.g., the boundary locations of assets, buildings, and other properties.

High utilisation

Critical gaps related to relevant user needs

Guideline gap

UN37: Projection of risk to portfolio assets into the future.

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